Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 57.766594 64.631718 71.765039 79.712388 88.301063 97.285011 107.374730
2024-10-06 47.821060 58.028939 69.260708 82.454907 97.446671 113.869310 133.135302
2024-10-13 41.624971 53.464123 67.014165 83.504268 102.859683 124.689422 150.996074
2024-10-20 36.757610 49.658282 64.941962 84.113523 107.237917 133.951473 166.851119
2024-10-27 31.620838 44.874362 61.106523 82.057045 107.972147 138.569923 176.995220
2024-11-03 29.672727 43.818920 61.610412 85.093222 114.711367 150.267035 195.578305
2024-11-10 27.430269 42.125875 61.092749 86.670207 119.529709 159.594129 211.349409
2024-11-17 24.865287 39.747130 59.463751 86.627008 122.161083 166.145693 223.712981
2024-11-24 23.749269 39.245893 60.223440 89.629001 128.657812 177.549990 242.201558
2024-12-01 21.682746 37.210476 58.745608 89.519683 131.020420 183.691190 254.117227
2024-12-08 19.535052 34.869382 56.673901 88.448370 131.988562 187.968305 263.643306
2024-12-15 17.932241 33.206899 55.434183 88.408057 134.248126 193.871512 275.259576
2024-12-22 16.559267 31.826098 54.562096 88.891005 137.292707 200.959087 288.683518
2024-12-29 16.095182 31.856088 55.756983 92.340756 144.482327 213.656661 309.647706
2025-01-05 15.058781 30.859503 55.335885 93.399012 148.328240 221.916118 324.856970
2025-01-12 14.022736 29.771936 54.697509 94.076201 151.606241 229.419687 339.128696
2025-01-19 12.423279 27.570292 52.187715 91.836843 150.628211 231.065511 345.538540
2025-01-26 12.154716 27.695193 53.350784 95.139287 157.636769 243.709812 366.858464
2025-02-02 11.575505 27.206244 53.486779 96.853294 162.352631 253.240851 384.069892
2025-02-09 10.697079 26.085058 52.519953 96.806362 164.460021 259.151346 396.402268
2025-02-16 10.495927 26.234317 53.660499 100.067611 171.489705 272.017824 418.383679
2025-02-23 9.707285 25.171428 52.694505 99.948892 173.463881 277.779482 430.642495
2025-03-02 8.808873 23.803487 51.123661 98.785291 173.809020 281.201461 439.668302